Doesn’t this mean that realistically even if “the bubble never pops”, at some po...

Aeolun · 2025-05-22T23:25:00 1747956300

The money won’t run dry. They’ll just stop providing a free plan when the marginal benefits of having one don’t outweigh the costs any more.

fy20 · 2025-05-23T01:51:03 1747965063

In two years time you'll need to add an 10% Environmental Tax, 25% Displaced Workers Tax, and 50% tip to your OpenAI bills.

FridgeSeal · 2025-05-23T05:39:42 1747978782

Or at that point, maybe stop using it and just let them go broke?

Iolaum · 2025-05-23T09:14:52 1747991692

It's more likely that the free tier model will be a distilled lower parameter count model that will be cheap enough to run.

layoric · 2025-05-23T05:08:04 1747976884

They will likely just charge a lot more money for these services. Eg, the $200+ per months I think could become more of the entry level in 3-5 years. Saying that smaller models are getting very good, so there could be low margin direct model services and expensive verticals IMO.

AstroBen · 2025-05-23T15:32:51 1748014371

At that price it would start to be worth it to set up your own hardware and run local open source models