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That's the first time I've seen a decent argument about why it might matter.

But I'd still say "no, it doesn't matter", because the risk arguments for future pandemics due to each cause remain as they were in the absence of Covid:

• Labs doing safety wrong was already a thing, and this is worth improving because they still are

• Wet markets were already known to be a pandemic risk, and still are

Considered a different way, we may get multiple future pandemics from both sources.

Two independent Poisson distributions going forward is more important than one single Bayesian inference of the past.




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