I’m dubious that Europe (or the US, but it’s mostly Europe's fault) could be fooled into falling for this con a second time.

Would you care to elaborate as to under what sort of agreement (specifically in terms of territorial arrangements, but also any other key concessions that come to mind) you see the war "ending" in the near term?

And will Russia need to pay any sort of financial compensation to Ukraine, or will it simply be "welcomed into the fold"?

If Trump wins, it seems like Russia will get all occupied territories, Ukraine will be offered a fig leaf of weak security guarantees.

Russia will then likely be eased back into the intl. community with very little punishment by the Trump admin.

This one of the Trump team's most consistent positions - that the Ukraine war is a nothingburguer that needs to "end" through concessions by Ukraine.

They already showed they are the single nation of the XXI century that is going to war with its neighbors and is sending nuclear threats everywhere. Once their mask fell off, who in their right mind would want to do anything to make them stronger? A whole generational attitude would have to change.