On a related note, Microsoft published a press release last year [1] where they seemed to suggest that 30% of accepted copilot suggests was a 30% productivity boost for devs.
> users accept nearly 30% of code suggestions from GitHub Copilot
> Using 30% productivity enhancement, with a projected number of 45 million professional developers in 2030, generative AI developer tools could add productivity gains of an additional 15 million “effective developers” to worldwide capacity by 2030. This could boost global GDP by over $1.5 trillion
They were probably just being disingenuous to drum up hype but if not they'd have to believe that:
1) All lines of code take the same amount of time to produce
2) 100% of a developer's job is writing code
> users accept nearly 30% of code suggestions from GitHub Copilot
> Using 30% productivity enhancement, with a projected number of 45 million professional developers in 2030, generative AI developer tools could add productivity gains of an additional 15 million “effective developers” to worldwide capacity by 2030. This could boost global GDP by over $1.5 trillion
They were probably just being disingenuous to drum up hype but if not they'd have to believe that:
1) All lines of code take the same amount of time to produce 2) 100% of a developer's job is writing code
[1]: https://github.blog/2023-06-27-the-economic-impact-of-the-ai...