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Armies want to plan for wars, not police actions. SF forces now number over 75K so they just suck resources and get all the cool stuff. They don’t follow the same process. Even with that size, when Rumsfeld went to the Army staff and asked for an Afghanistan invasion plan, they threw him a book for an occupation force of 500K. Which was the correct doctrine, and one that had a remotely possible successful outcome. Rummy was outraged.

So the CIA chief told W “I can do it A-teams and some SF units” and thus started a 20 year lost cause and the regular Army generals had no doubt it would be.

The existance of any SF units causes a bias towards simple solutions and silver bullets. Solutions that multiple Presidents and DoD secretaries believe. Real generals just roll their eyes.

A Green Beret I met in the 80’s referred to Delta as “glorified door kickers.”




I've never heard of a 500k Afghanistan plan.

But Marine Gen. Anthony Zinni ran a series of exercises that determined it would take 400k troops and 10 years to successfully occupy Iraq, defeat an insurgency, and leave a stable government that could stand on its own.

Rummy's plan, backed by Armitage and Wolfowitz, was for 170k. And no plan for civilian transition.

And it worked -- they won the conventional war, and botched the rest.




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