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Superforecasters on the Chance of an AI Apocalypse
(
economist.com
)
2 points
by
sien
on July 11, 2023
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2 comments
JimtheCoder
on July 11, 2023
[–]
What is a Superforecaster? Considering forecasters are usually wrong, are these people super wrong?
sien
on July 11, 2023
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parent
[–]
The academic Phillip Tetlock systematically went through and checked on forecasts from a range of people and found people who performed better. His work is very much worth reading.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecaster
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