If I could design zoning things and building regulations and generally Simcity/Cities micromanage in real life, I would set a demand of reserving let's say 500 m2 of green space for every occupant in a multistorey building. This aggregated space would have to be right next to or around the building.
As a concrete example: to build a building for 100 people, one must have 100*500 = 5 hectares of space around the building, reserved for a green space only, not parking lots or such.
Buildings would be more spaced apart and would not trap heat so much like traditional dense designs, so urban centers would be cooler. I dare to claim that people would be less crazy and generally happier and healthier when living like this. Over time, building less densely would see all kinds of positive effects compounding.
The green space could be used for many good things, e.g. growing hyperlocal food like vegetables, potatoes or whatever grows well in the climate, for having tree-shaded places during warm days, for just having a piece of nature to go to quickly and easily. Smaller batches of forest shading a path could connect multiple buildings built with the same ideas, and so on. It would be possible to use bicycles or walk along these paths.
In a nutshell, if one has to build high, then make all multi-storey buildings like a stacked nano-village surrounded by a larger green area/forest. Based on my subjective understanding very few people actually like the ground floor so that's a good place to put local small businesses like barber, shop, bakery, café, and so on.
Like others have said, this would make things so spread out as to be unusable for walking/biking. You want more density, but with large, nearby swaths of mixed use spaces with lots of greenspace and walking paths, biking paths, shops and activities, and public transit. The higher density supports the local shops in walking/biking distance, as opposed to suburbs where you drive to larger more central locations for shopping. This also means you need less space devoted to roadways and parking spaces, so you get even more space available for mixed use type greenspaces. You then have a city that is comprised of lively individual neighborhoods where people can go about their daily lives and activities within a half mile of green space filled walkable area, or they can hop on public transit (or ride bikes on protected paths) to go to one of the other lively individual neighborhoods.
With the numbers I pulled out of my hat earlier, within 1 km there would be 5 towers which would mean ca. > 5-10 small shops for everyday stuff like bread, coffee, toilet paper, yoghurt and whatever.
I don't know what people think are a biking/walking distance, but a distance of 1 km is walkable in ca. 15 minutes. Bicyclable in some minutes during summer.
More density than suburbs is really OK for a city core, but too much density is bad... Everyone should reject that. All the building projects I see are just concrete upon concrete, too dense, no green, just awful.
I would love to see more integrated greenspace instead of "hey, there's already a smallish park 2 km from you, go there to weep you hippie". Hence the original idea.
I guess some who are actual planners/architects are shooting it down, which is great, I can then imagine something better :)
These ideas just don’t seem to be in line with how people actually enjoy living. Go to rural Georgia or Tennessee or the Carolinas and you can have this super low density and tons of greenspace. People don’t want that because living in super low-density places aren’t particularly desirable for most people. Because that level of density doesn’t actually support 5-10 small shops that people want to go to. They drive to central locations that have enough amenities to make it worth their time. Walking a km through mostly empty forest just to get to a small convenience store with only the basics is not something people do if given a choice.
The average backyard size in the US is 2,164 m2, which would support a family of 4 in your scenario but obviously suburbs full of backyards don’t actually feel very nice and green. Central Park is so amazing because it is adjacent to high density NYC. You have the amenities of a city and a large greenspace. NYC is hyper dense, but that is closer to optimal than rural Georgia.
Your Central Park example also points out another issue, which is money to maintain these greenspaces. At a fundamental level, it is a case of not having enough people to pay taxes (or whatever) for something even 10% as nice as Central Park. So you are back to what PartyOperator said, either bare grass, or wild forest. Another aspect is that people move to cities for a reason. Living in higher density allows for much greater and easier economic activity. Work From Home is nice for the few types of jobs that can do them, but most people need to go to work and doing that is only feasible with density.
Looking at your Swedish community example, that is only possible with density. You can even see from the overhead map that it is mostly smaller, hyper local parks and other mixed use areas, with a larger more unmanaged greenspace around the outside.
You can’t have your cake and eat it too. You can’t have the density of a deeply rural community, and also have huge, managed greenspaces and local shops. You should look into Strong Towns [1], that has a lot of good actual city planning information and what makes a happy, vibrant community.
But there is a whole spectrum between the densities of super low-density rural Tennessee and hyperdense NYC-like places and I find the ideas for something in-between are largely unexplored in practise because of various reasons.
The argument of closeness of amenities prioritizes a consumption-based lifestyle over building good nests for humans (and little humans) to actually live in. Let's take your example, where you said people don't like to walk 1 km to a small convenience store -- is the assumption somehow that walking 1 km to reach the tiniest park is something people would like?
As for jobs, I'd say very, very few people live in a city next to their jobs. They have to commute in one way or another. This seems to fall mostly between 10 minutes to 60 minutes when discussing with people. Time-wise I'd say this range is aligned with a smaller town/city (either a job in the town/city, or in another town/city).
And speaking of enjoyment, to be honest I'm not convinced many people in big cities really enjoy it. I'd wager to say that most people generally would enjoy a less noisy and overall cleaner environment where nature is nearer than concrete. Not everyone, but most.
My childhood town (in Northern Europe) is 31 people/km2. It's overall about 80 k people (lots of empty space). Density-wise it's probably something like your rural Georgia but everything one needs is there, plenty of shops and businesses of all kinds and even some variety in restaurants (believe it or not). Quite many people could actually do with a bicycle or a bus, but in practise people have a car because of winters and four seasons and because buses don't run all the time and reach everywhere. So then, for example, most people do groceries once a week and drive that 3-10 km to the grocery store or mall concentrations. But based on my experience, they would likely do exactly the same thing in a bigger city too, since the inner-city core grocery stores are more expensive with less variety.
Also, there's a spectrum between bare grass or wild forest... For example, where I live now one might have a "wild" forest designated as a "park", and someone from the municipality just cuts away the hanging branches, windsnaps and such and ensures the paths don't grow shut. It's very low effort and cost. Once in like 5-15 years they might cut some more growth of trees so there's more sunlight everywhere. This type of "park" does not have manicured golf course like grass areas and fountains and so the per year per area cost are much smaller.
So it's not about the cake and eating it, it's about having a different kind of cake.
Anyway, thanks a lot for the link!
Edit: PS. I followed your link now; the concept of Neighbourhood Park is a neat one. That is kind of what I mean, more of that, not necessarily with golf course lawn. Also, the "John F. Collins Park in Philadelphia" looks great!
Towers in the park is not a new idea. Le Corbusier was a big fan. In practice it tends not to work well. Additionally mandating a very low population density almost guarantees failure.
Staying below 2000 people per square km will make it difficult to provide good public transport or other amenities, including shops. Anyone able to afford a car will want at least one per household, further reducing the population density and making it harder to get around on foot/bike/bus. Ultimately the only people who would choose this form of low-density living over conventional suburban homes would be those unable to afford their own house. Pleasant landscaping is expensive to maintain and almost guaranteed not to happen for a handful of poor people so you'd either end up with impenetrable forest or bare grass and concrete between buildings.
There are a few cases where something like this works quite well, but generally only the highest density versions when located in or near a large, prosperous city that already has excellent amenities. Otherwise it tends to be a disaster.
Optimizing for one thing alone rarely works in urban planing, even if the idea of ample green space for everyone seems uncontroversial.
Why does low population density guarantee a failure (failure of what)?
About Le Corbusier. His core idea is interesting but from what I've seen the "towers in a park" implementations are basically "massive ugly badly designed towers surrounded by a malnourished slivers of grass". Also, for those: 1. the population density is invariably way too high, 2. the towers are always massive, 3. the green space sizes are absolutely too small, 4. the "green spaces" are boring and/or half dead, many times only grass (why not have gardens that actually produce food for people who live there, or forests)?
For example, Stuyvesant Town is one "tower in the park". It is IMO too crowded with too high towers. Reduce number of towers to 4 or 5, make towers lower, and it'd be more like it.
To give an exaggerated example, if one were to put a 6 floor tower right in the middle of Central Park, that's what I'm kind of after...
Why does having a car reduce the population density or impact foot/bike/bus at all?
As for the density cutoff of 2000 people / square km. Here we'd have a building of 100 people, 40 apartments (assume family of 2.5 people), 5 apartments/floor, 8 floors. Tower footprint won't make a huge difference, let's say it's > 500 m2, and this would be 1..2% per tower total area. In 1 square km (100 hectares) we'd have 20 such towers á 100 persons, thus 2000 people per square km. The towers would be quite low, and this would still be "dense enough" per that cutoff.
(This is napkin math so the real number is slightly lower or higher depending on various parameters)
Anyway, this an idea I'd like to see happen. I'm not an architect/planner (perhaps for a reason, say the shouts from the audience).
PS. https://www.sweco.se/projekt/satra/ this project (in Sweden) aims to build greenspaces where inhabitants can produce food. That's the theory at least, it will be interesting to see how it turns out. I do think this is again way too dense, but greenspaces to produce food is a great idea.
> As a concrete example: to build a building for 100 people, one must have 100*500 = 5 hectares of space around the building, reserved for a green space only, not parking lots or such.
As others have said this density is just way too low. It's an improvement on the status quo that exists in many areas (low density sprawl with individual private green spaces, but essentially no public green space) but this density is just not good enough to create walkable communities.
The only city I've visited that seems to get this right is Chicago, which has massive tracts of public land that are accessible to everybody by walking, cycling, or public transit.
Not everybody will be able to live right next to a park, but nobody will live very far from one, either.
That is more green space than in most suburbs. No one would ever build apartments with those restrictions, they would build single family homes. No one would walk through the parks because it would take too long to get anywhere and would drive instead.
One tenth of that might be workable. One hundreth is probably fine. Gives the apartment building a house-sized lot for garden. And gives neighborhood a block sized park. And gives the city a large, nature park.
Statistics isn't my strong suit but as I understand adjustment for covariates then it's a linear remapping of the sample data. If that's right then strongly nonlinear confounding factors (as, for instance, I'd expect wealth to be) would still affect the outcomes even after being "adjusted for".
Happy to be set straight on this if I've misunderstood!
Farmers look famously young for their age ... put a 30 year old farmer and a 40 year old lawyer in a room together and you might mistake one for the others father.
I don't see in the paper they adjusted by family size. They mention socioeconomic status but that isn't the same thing. Would it be possible people living in urban areas close to parks have less kids or no children at all? Usually real state closer to parks within the city permiter are much more expensive, the same money buys you less square footage.
I have done my own study with 7 siblings in my family half with children and I can assure you having kids adds at least 3 years of biological age per kid.
The parenting factor is actually quite interesting because while I think most of us would agree that parents look older faster, the overall trend is that they make up for it by living longer than their non-parent peers.
It's not a huge difference: 2 additional years in men, 1.5 in women; but it's significant enough[1].
> It's not a huge difference: 2 additional years in men, 1.5 in women; but it's significant enough
I would be careful to conclude causality here. There are a lot of confounding factors in these studies. For instance, most childless people are not childless by choice but due to already existing illnesses which predispose them to shorter lifespans. Socioeconomic factors also play a huge role. For instance, the numerous studies which show that adoptive parents live longer than their childless counterparts need to account for the wealth and lifestyle factors that allow these parents to adopt kids in the first place.
There have also been studies showing an inverse relationship. Nonetheless, a clear fact is this: "People with children live longer than people without". IMHO, they need a robust study on otherwise healthy and socioeconomically stable individuals (perhaps otherwise childless by choice sperm/egg donors) with healthy counterparts. In order to see, if something like, "In order to increase your longevity, its good to have kids." is reasonable or not. Personally, I'd say the judge is still out on that one.
We need to stop doing these pointless studies. Everything is linked to everything, showing it is is a waste of money because (1) we already know and (2) we can't use this info because we don't know what causes what. But people would rather click on these pieces and feel good having their assumptions confirmed that learn and actually improve our society.
People do these studies so that you can then use it to actually improve society by, let's say increase and improve our green spaces.
When someone asks you why you're wasting time and money on a silly childish thing like a greener city instead of more asphalt for Business Inc. you can point to this study.
Doing crap studies to argue from the authority of science has gradually eroded that authority.
I don’t know that this study is crap, but it fits the pattern on the surface: “Correlate politically valuable thing A with biomarker B, observe that B is correlated with universally valued C, totally ignore statistics to infer that A causes C”.
I say this as someone who actively believes it’s healthier to live in or near green spaces!
By this logic we must conclude that only a tiny portion of people actually want to live in beachfront properties and take a few months off to travel every year.
Everyone else seeks out cheaper apartments and 9-5 jobs with two weeks vacation.
There's plenty of beachfront places in other countries American families could easily afford and retire and yet chose to work to live in dumpy apartments in Manhattan instead.
It only works if it's within your financial means.
We can't all assume everyone doesn't want a $200M house in the hills with a megayacht and a full staff because they don't have it. They don't have the means.
But if you have the means and chose something else, it's not because you're dumb and society is evil and tricking you. It's because that's what you want.
The actions people take are generally not a product of careful deliberation and certainly not always genuine reflections of their deepest desires.
Most of the time, people just do things without thinking too much about it and they do the things that are the "default mode" operations in the context in which they are operating.
It is not wise to look at actions people take and conclude that's what they really wanted to do.
At the very least you'd need to ask them about it.
There may be 100 reasons why they feel tied to a spot where they actually don't want so much to live in.
So let's try to really and truly improve the cities, make them walkable with green and blue spaces, easy public transport out to larger parks and reserves, etc.
Yeah just retire somewhere where you don't speak the language, have minimal-to-zero connection to local culture, and will be thousands of miles from children, family, and friends. Simple!
So obviously they care about those things more than nature, just like they care about driving their car all over the city more than spending money on greenspace.
Everyone has choices. The society we've made is the sum of our choices. You don't freely chose to do things you don't want to (given your available options).
Yes! You’ve got to the point here.
People want natural parks and durable clothing, but given the set of constraints society has put on them they “choose” the more affordable and less desirable options because they’ve also got kids to feed (and/or other stuff).
Not at all. That's not how science works. A huge percentage of rigorous scientific studies are specifically showing correlations between things.
"Correlation doesn't equal causation!" cried the internerds.
It doesn't need to. If you've got a set (P) of N people who consume substance X, and N people (Q) who did not consume substance X, and 100% of set P died within half an hour of that act, and 100% of Q are still happy little dandelions, that is an entirely valid scientific finding, and an entirely sufficient reason to stop the supply of substance X.
That’s how science works bud. Correlation is really all we ever have for anything and you don’t leap from “no data” to “confident in causation” without miles and miles of “just correlative evidence of varying quality.”
And of course even once you get to high enough conviction to call it causation, it’s still liable to be overturned and to reveal itself as a mere correlation nonetheless!
Humans have never once “proved causation” of even a single phenomenon ever.
You're right, it's basically air pollution. We know that air pollution makes people older and kills millions every year, although the exact mechanism is not known (I have lots of health problems because of it, but no good test to show it except bad sleep patterns at places with high air pollution).
We also know the solutions: electric cars (I just bought my first), heat pumps with electric heating, and reversing aging.
Electric cars are not a solution (most of the particles come from the brakes, tyres and too many roads instead of vegetation, which blocks wind dust and erosion).
Heat pumps or electric heating help solve climate change, not air pollution (it helps a bit if it replaces an old wood stove, but would make things worse if the grid is coal-powered, which is sadly still common).
Reversing aging isn't a thing and even if it were, it wouldn't be a solution to anything. Air pollution problems aren't only about physical health but mental health and biodiversity as well. Maybe I don't get the sarcasm.
Electric cars make it more difficult for other people to adopt low-pollution lifestyles by making the streets more dangerous for those walking or biking, and produce a lot of particulates from the tyres, especially since they're quite heavy.
An electric bike, though, is a pretty great choice!
Cars are generally not a mode of transport that makes sense in a city. There are some exceptions, but the vast majority of transportation in a city should be by foot, bicycle or public transport.
Electric cars are still part of the problem, not the solution. They still cause particulate pollution due to brake and tyre dust plus wear on the roads due to excessive weight. And that's not to mention the noise pollution, stress and danger caused by cars.
Bicycles are the solution to that particular problem.
I've been repeating this in my work with statewide health data. The answer to, "Is there a difference in X between group Y and group Z?" is always "Yes." No data collection or significance test needed. If you want to know if being Y or Z affects X, you need a properly controlled experiment.
Studies using observational and non-comprehensive data collection have their place. They show reality. If people in one city have an incredibly high rate of dying from heart disease, that means we could reduce premature deaths there. And we'd do that by looking at the results of controlled studies into the causes of heart disease, then see which ones are prevalent and changeable.
correlation does not equal to causation I'd insert the hand clapping emoji if I could; probably why it isn't allowed here. This isn't too dissimilar to people who eat salmon live longer despite higher mercury content detected in blood. it's not the salmon rather it's the fact that they are able to consistently able to afford salmon.
You’re making a claim about how mercury should be impacting people that eat salmon that I wouldn’t grant.
It might just be the case that salmon consumption under some threshold confers benefits that outweigh suspected detriments especially when a population tends to replace salmon with worse food.
nah I don't buy it. it's just work Vs free time. Any serious sailor in their 50s looks shagged, and they've had all the outdoor space you can get. plus if you ask those people they'll actually be just 29.
The article talks about the benefits of living near and having access to green spaces, not doing manual work outside in the elements all day, which is clearly not the same thing.
It's not like sailors spend a lot of time in green spaces though. On serious note: exposure to extreme wind and sun day after day can't be good for your skin.
As a concrete example: to build a building for 100 people, one must have 100*500 = 5 hectares of space around the building, reserved for a green space only, not parking lots or such.
Buildings would be more spaced apart and would not trap heat so much like traditional dense designs, so urban centers would be cooler. I dare to claim that people would be less crazy and generally happier and healthier when living like this. Over time, building less densely would see all kinds of positive effects compounding.
The green space could be used for many good things, e.g. growing hyperlocal food like vegetables, potatoes or whatever grows well in the climate, for having tree-shaded places during warm days, for just having a piece of nature to go to quickly and easily. Smaller batches of forest shading a path could connect multiple buildings built with the same ideas, and so on. It would be possible to use bicycles or walk along these paths.
In a nutshell, if one has to build high, then make all multi-storey buildings like a stacked nano-village surrounded by a larger green area/forest. Based on my subjective understanding very few people actually like the ground floor so that's a good place to put local small businesses like barber, shop, bakery, café, and so on.