Given that the CCP frequently "disappears" its nationals that it has some problem with, I think giving the CCP the benefit of the doubt is unwise and harmful. Given it's demonstrated pattern over many years, I think we can safely assume malintent.

Nothing is 100% sure, anyway, and the CCP does these things in secret to provide it deniability.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jul/04/tycoon-xiao-ji...

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/china-billi...