This is what I try and bring up whenever there's talk from one party about ending the filibuster or packing the supreme court. Sure, it sounds good now while you're team is in power, but power is a fickle thing, and at some point you'll be on the receiving end of that stick.
Do you really think that if the GOP win the House, Senate, and Presidency, they won't scrap the filibuster to ban abortion nationwide in 2025?
You're right that setting new precedents is a dangerous strategy, but showing restraint against an opponent that doesn't follow the unwritten rules (and even some of the written ones) is just asking to be taken advantage of, like a losing player in the Prisoner's Dilemma.
I'm reluctant to risk my fake internet points, but I think you are being over-confident if you imagine there will be "zero attempts". I assume that to count as an "attempt" you would require there to be an actual vote, rather than just an informal canvassing of senators to gauge the level of support, and I further assume that you would concede I was right if the filibuster was "only" scrapped for a single vote (not necessarily related to abortion).
Anyway, to give more context, a bill to ban (some) abortions was introduced to the Senate[0] this year, and although Mitch McConnell has said he wouldn't scrap the filibuster for such a law if he had a majority[1], Biden has raised the stakes by saying he would support a carve-out to ensure the availability of abortions[2]. Senators are already discussing who should succeed McConnell[3], but his term ends in 2026, so perhaps I was hasty to suggest we'd see a change to the filibuster in 2025.
I totally agree with you - I don't really like this as a matter of policy. It's one thing to have Paypal close your account and just decline to work with you. That seems fair enough in an open economy. Fining people for something they do outside of their platform is just crazy. That actual "we're the police now" levels of absurdity.
